Bitcoin Slips Below $93K as Analysts Split on 2025-2030 Price Trajectory
Nov, 21 2025
Bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride continues, with the price dipping below $93,000 just weeks after hovering near $120,000 — a swing that’s left investors scrambling to make sense of wildly conflicting forecasts. While Binance predicts a modest 5% bump to $82,942 by November 27, 2025, Changelly expects a sharper drop to $92,876.57 by November 23. Meanwhile, Traders Union sees Bitcoin closing 2025 at $124,237.53, and PlanB, the pseudonymous architect of the Stock-to-Flow model, is betting on a 2x surge from current levels — potentially pushing Bitcoin toward $250,000 or even $1 million by 2030. The twist? All these views are based on the same market data. Here’s the thing: Bitcoin isn’t just a currency anymore. It’s a battleground for competing theories about money, scarcity, and macroeconomic survival.
What’s Really Driving the Price Swings?
Bitcoin’s recent dip below $93,000 isn’t a crash — it’s a correction. After hitting $120,000 in early November, the asset faced resistance from profit-taking traders and renewed fears over U.S. trade policy. Flitpay’s research team in India noted that “a series of breaking support levels one by one” has rattled sentiment, even as institutional demand holds firm. The PlanB model, which ties Bitcoin’s value to its scarcity (only 21 million will ever exist), argues that the $100,000 level isn’t a ceiling anymore — it’s a floor. “100K that used to be resistance turned into support,” he said in a November 2025 YouTube analysis. That’s huge. It means the market’s psychological anchor has shifted. But here’s the catch: PlanB also warns that 2026 could be a bear market, with Bitcoin potentially crashing to $56,000 based on on-chain momentum indicators. He’s not bearish — he’s just being precise.
Conflicting Forecasts: Why No One Can Agree
The divergence among analysts isn’t random. It’s methodological. Traders Union leans on historical cycles and volume patterns, projecting a $177,881.9 price by end of 2029. Changelly combines technical indicators with sentiment analysis, forecasting an average 2025 price of $210,644.67 — a number so high it’s almost sci-fi. Flitpay offers a more grounded range: $72,000 (bearish) to $133,300 (bullish), with an average of $106,000. And Binance’s algorithm? It’s conservative — barely budging from $82,000 in the short term. Why the gap? Because some models assume institutional adoption will accelerate (think BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, corporate balance sheet additions), while others factor in global regulatory uncertainty, especially around U.S. tariffs and the potential for a Trump-led crypto reserve strategy. The market isn’t pricing in one future — it’s pricing in five.
The $100,000 Threshold: A New Normal?
Here’s what’s truly remarkable: Bitcoin has now spent six consecutive months above $100,000 — something analysts said was impossible just two years ago. PlanB calls it “a really bullish sign.” And he’s not alone. The fact that Bitcoin didn’t collapse after the November dip suggests a new layer of demand: pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, even family offices are now treating BTC as digital gold. Unlike 2021, when retail FOMO drove spikes, today’s buyers are patient. They’re buying dips. That’s why Flitpay still believes Bitcoin could break $150,000 in 2025 despite global tensions. The market’s maturity is the hidden story. The volatility isn’t weakening Bitcoin — it’s filtering out the speculators.
What’s Next? The 2026 Bear Market Warning
PlanB’s $56,000 prediction for 2026 isn’t a prediction of doom — it’s a technical alert. His model shows that after each halving, Bitcoin enters a 12-18 month consolidation phase. The last halving was April 2024. The next major trigger? The next U.S. presidential election cycle. If Trump follows through on his pledge to create a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, institutional buying could surge. But if regulatory crackdowns return — especially around mining or custody — the market could retrace hard. “If the RSI dips towards 55 or lower,” PlanB warned, “that’s your signal to watch closely.” That’s not a sell signal. It’s a heads-up. The next six months will test whether Bitcoin’s support at $90,000 is structural or temporary.
Long-Term Outlook: Beyond 2030
Look out to 2031, and the numbers get surreal. Changelly projects an average Bitcoin price of $1,434,234 by December 2031. That’s not fantasy — it’s extrapolation. If Bitcoin’s adoption grows at just 15% annually, and its supply remains fixed, its market cap could surpass gold. The Binance model, which predicts $108,854.93 by 2030, looks tame next to that. But here’s the reality: no model accounts for black swans — a global financial reset, quantum computing breaking blockchain, or a decentralized currency overtaking BTC. Bitcoin’s future isn’t written in algorithms. It’s written in human behavior. And right now, more people are choosing to believe in it than ever before.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why do analysts disagree so much on Bitcoin’s price?
Because they’re using different tools. PlanB relies on scarcity and halving cycles; Traders Union tracks volume and historical patterns; Changelly combines technical indicators with sentiment; Binance uses algorithmic models trained on past trading behavior. Flitpay adds macro factors like U.S. trade policy. No single model captures everything — so the range of predictions reflects uncertainty, not incompetence.
Is Bitcoin really entering a bear market in 2026?
PlanB’s $56,000 forecast is based on historical post-halving corrections, not a prediction of collapse. After each halving since 2012, Bitcoin has corrected 70-80% from its peak — but then rallied far higher. The key difference this time? Institutional buyers are holding through dips. So even if 2026 sees a pullback, it’s likely to be shallower and shorter than past cycles.
What’s the significance of Bitcoin staying above $100,000 for six months?
It’s a structural shift. Before 2024, $100,000 was a psychological barrier. Now, it’s a baseline. That means hedge funds, ETFs, and corporations see it as a store of value — not a speculative gamble. The fact that Bitcoin held above this level through interest rate hikes and geopolitical chaos suggests its resilience is now baked into global portfolios.
Could Bitcoin realistically hit $1 million by 2030?
It’s possible, but only if adoption accelerates. For Bitcoin to reach $1 million, its market cap would need to hit $21 trillion — larger than gold’s current value. That would require 10% of global wealth to shift into BTC. That’s not impossible: if central banks start adding it to reserves, and major economies like India or Brazil embrace it as legal tender, the path opens. But it requires regulatory clarity — which is still missing.
How do U.S. trade wars and tariffs affect Bitcoin’s price?
They create uncertainty — which ironically boosts Bitcoin’s appeal. When global trade tensions rise, investors flee to assets outside traditional systems. Bitcoin, being borderless and decentralized, becomes a hedge. Flitpay noted that despite tariffs slowing Bitcoin’s early-2025 momentum, the asset still gained 40% year-to-date. In times of fiat instability, Bitcoin thrives.
Should I buy Bitcoin now, given the volatility?
If you’re looking for short-term gains, avoid it — the swings are brutal. But if you’re thinking long-term (5+ years), current levels near $93,000 may offer a strong entry point. Historical data shows buying during post-halving corrections has yielded 5-10x returns over five years. Just don’t invest more than you can afford to hold for a decade. The real wealth is in patience, not timing.